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Beef Ban Pushes Chicken Consumption; Prices Likely to Go Up

ASSOCHAM analysis projects 25–30% price rise and 35–40% consumption growth across India

INDIA - The prices of chicken, in many parts of the country, have started soaring and are expected to register an increase by 25-30 per cent and in consumption by 35-40 per cent in the wake of the beef ban, according to ASSOCHAM.

"Poultry wholesale price index has also risen over 22 per cent while that of beef and buffalo meat has declined about three per cent between May 2014 and March 2017," noted an analysis carried out by ASSOCHAM.

Besides production of poultry meat, mainly chicken, has been steadily growing at a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of about 10-12 per cent, while its consumption has been clocking a CAGR of 15-18 per cent during the course of past few years.

The ASSOCHAM analysis also noted that between June 2013 and May 2014, there was an increase in wholesale price levels of over 10 per cent in beef and buffalo meat while that of poultry chicken declined by about nine per cent.

"Beef ban and the related controversies have surely come as a blessing in disguise for poultry firms in states like Andhra Pradesh, Haryana, Karnataka, Kerala, Maharashtra, Punjab, Tamil Nadu, Telangana, Uttar Pradesh and other key regions in this behalf," said an ASSOCHAM spokesman while releasing the findings of the chamber's analysis.

Apart from a sudden ban, "rising per capita incomes, growth in quick service restaurants are other key reasons for growing demand and consumption of meat in India," said ASSOCHAM.

"India also provides a huge opportunity for foreign direct investment (FDI) in poultry especially in areas like breeding, medication, feedstock, vertical integration and processing, as such these areas should also be exploited," it further recommended.

Key Highlights
  • Chicken prices projected up 25–30%
  • Chicken consumption up 35–40%
  • Wholesale poultry index +22% (May'14 – Mar'17)
  • Production CAGR 10–12% · Consumption CAGR 15–18%
  • ASSOCHAM flags FDI scope: breeding, feedstock, processing
Market Snapshot
Price Forecast+25–30%
Demand Growth+35–40%
Index (Poultry)+22%
Index (Beef/Buffalo)−3%
Key StatesAP, Haryana, KA, KL, MH, PB, TN, TS, UP

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